France vs Belgium prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for the UEFA Nations League group match

France are reeling from a surprise home defeat to a ragtag Italian team and will now hope to make a comeback in the rest of the UEFA Nations League against Belgium in Lyon on Monday.

Les Bleus were ahead in Paris after just a minute but were then put under pressure by Italy’s transition play and efficiency in the final third. The visitors took advantage of their 11 shots and converted them into three goals at 1.74 xG, while France managed just 11 shots at 0.61 after Bradley Barcola’s early opener.

Kylian Mbappe could only manage two insignificant shots and three passes into the final third, and Didier Deschamps’ team looked toothless for most of the game, unable to stop Italy’s advance.

Belgium’s start to the Nations League went smoothly: The team beat Israel 3-1, dominated the proceedings from start to finish and only conceded an own goal in the 36th minute.

MORE: Full schedule, results and more for the 2024/25 UEFA Nations League

France vs. Belgium prediction, odds

• Moneyline trend: France (-125)
• Result prediction: France – Belgium 2:1

France were extremely poor in their last game against Italy and Belgium thrashed Israel, but we will bet the game on the long-term performance of the team rather than the seemingly random result for Les Bleus.

We all know what France is capable of, especially at home, while Belgium hasn’t beaten a top team in years. The Red Devils lost 1-0 to France at Euro 2024 just a few months ago, in a game where Belgium had almost nothing to offer in the attacking third.

More goals are expected here as both teams have put a lot of emphasis on stronger attacking performances in recent games. However, France should recover, albeit by a narrow margin than they would like.

The line movements just before kick-off have swung slightly in Belgium’s favour, an interesting shift as the market seems to be taking into account France’s poor performance last time out.

Facts about the match France vs. Belgium

• Date: Monday, September 9, 2024
• Kick-off time: 8:45 p.m. local time (2:45 p.m. ET / 11:45 a.m. PT)
• Location: Groupama Stadium (Lyon, France)
• Referee: Tobias Stieler (GER)
• Last meeting: France – Belgium 1:0 (1 July 2024 | Euro 2024)

MORE: A Complete Guide to Soccer Betting in the United States

France vs Belgium best bet

• Choose: Both teams score – Yes
• Opportunities: -145 (BetMGM)

While we look at the overall moneyline result more long-term, the recent game may suggest that more goals should be scored this time than the last time they met. Belgium were abysmal at Euro 2024, but Kevin de Bruyne and Jeremy Doku looked revitalized against Israel, a very positive sign for the Red Devils.

This means that France’s defence has been weak for some time. When Didier Deschamps gave in to public pressure for the team to play more attractive football, the defence paid a high price. In their last two games against Spain and Italy they have conceded five goals. In both games they took an early lead but then capitulated at the back.

In two of the last four meetings between these two teams, both sides have scored goals, so there are plenty of reasons why it could continue like this.

France vs Belgium – Prop Bet

• Choose: 2+ goals in the first half – Yes
• Opportunities: +155 (BetMGM)

Both teams showed a tendency to both score and concede early goals to keep the game exciting before halftime.

Belgium were tied 1-1 against Israel at half-time and took the lead three minutes after the restart. France, on the other hand, conceded a goal in the first minute against Italy, just as they did against Spain in the European Championship knockout rounds.

France vs Belgium Live Stream, TV Channel

The match between France and Belgium will be broadcast in the United States on FS2. This channel can be streamed on Fubo, which has a free seven-day trial for new users.

The game can also be streamed in Spanish on ViX.

In Canada, the game from Dublin will be streamed exclusively on DAZN. In the UK, it will be streamed on Viaplay International’s YouTube channel.