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Hurricane forecasters are watching Isaac, Joyce and perhaps Kirk

Hurricane forecasters are watching Isaac, Joyce and perhaps Kirk


Meteorologists are monitoring the Caribbean Sea, where another system appears to be brewing in a similar location to where Hurricane Helene formed.

As Helene swept across Florida and dumped rain across the Southeast, hurricane forecasters were monitoring three systems in the Atlantic.

One of them is a new hurricane far out in the ocean. Hurricane Isaac formed nearly 1,000 miles (1,600 kilometers) from Bermuda on Friday morning, the National Hurricane Center said.

It is the sixth hurricane of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, but for people in the United States it may be the least worrisome.

News from Saturday: Live updates on Helene’s deaths and damage

Meanwhile, meteorologists were also monitoring the Caribbean Sea, where another system appears to be brewing in a location similar to where Hurricane Helene formed. Here’s what you should know.

Tropical Storm Joyce also formed on Friday

Elsewhere, meteorologists were tracking newly formed Tropical Storm Joyce, which is located in the central Atlantic about 1,325 miles east of the Northern Leeward Islands in the Caribbean. Joyce is moving northwest at about 13 miles per hour, and that general motion is expected to continue through Sunday at a gradually slowing forward speed, the hurricane center said. A gradual turn to the north is forecast for Monday.

Maximum sustained winds will be around 40 mph, with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected by Saturday, followed by gradual weakening by early next week.

As of Friday morning, Joyce does not pose a threat to land areas.

Caribbean system brewing in familiar place

Finally, worryingly, forecasters also turned their attention back to the Caribbean Sea, where another system appears to be brewing in a location similar to where Hurricane Helene formed. “Environmental conditions are expected to favor slow development as the system moves generally northwestward, potentially entering the Gulf of Mexico by late next week,” the hurricane center said.

If this system strengthens into a named storm, it would likely be called Tropical Storm Kirk.

Hurricane season in context

According to the hurricane center, a total of ten named storms have formed in the Atlantic so far this season. Of those ten storms, six have developed into hurricanes, including the newly formed Hurricane Isaac far out in the Atlantic.

That means the season is about average in terms of the storms mentioned, which is a far cry from preseason forecasts of an extremely active, perhaps record-breaking season with up to 30 possible storms.

According to Colorado State University, a typical year sees 14 named storms, seven of which are hurricanes.

Helene, a record breaker

Helene itself was a record-breaking storm, the strongest storm on record to make landfall in the Big Bend region of Florida. It was also the fourth hurricane to make landfall on the US Gulf Coast in 2024 (joining Beryl, Debby and Francine).

According to Colorado State meteorologist Phil Klotzbach, only five other recorded years have seen this many hurricane landfalls in the Gulf: 1886, 1909, 1985, 2005 and 2020.

In terms of pressure, it was also the ninth strongest hurricane to make landfall in Florida since 1900.

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