Odds, tips and predictions for Cincinnati Reds at Minnesota Twins

The Minnesota Twins (78-68) welcome the Cincinnati Reds (71-77) head to Target Field for the first game of their 3-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s check out BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds for the Reds vs. Twins Opportunities and place your best bets with our expert MLB tips and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; Twins won 2 of 3 games in 2023

The Reds lost 6-1 to the St. Louis Cardinals on Thursday and finished as +124 underdogs. They have lost two games in a row after winning three in a row. Cincinnati has won 7 of its last 11 games and is 35-38 on the road. They have allowed just 9 runs in their last 5 games. The Reds have an 82-66 record against the spread (ATS).

The Twins beat the Los Angeles Angels 6-4 on Wednesday and finished as -215 home favorites. They have won two games in a row, but are just 3-6 in their last nine games. Minnesota has scored just 2 or fewer runs in four of its last six games. Their home record is 41-31 and 66-80 ATS.

Expected starters for the Reds and the Twins

RHP Julian Aguiar against RHP Bailey Ober

Aguiar (1-0, 5.06 ERA) is making his 6th career start. He has a WHIP of 1.36, 3.4 BB/9 and 4.6 K/9 in 21 1/3 IP.

• Last start: No decision, 4 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 2 K in the 3-1 home win against the New York Mets on Sunday
• Away statistics 2024: 1-0, 2.45 ERA (14 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 0.96 WHIP, 4.9 K/9 in 3 starts
• For the first time against the Twins

Ober (12-6, 3.77 ERA) is making his 28th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 155 IP.

• Last start: No decision, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 7 K in the 4-2 road loss to the Kansas City Royals on Saturday
• Home stats 2024: 7-2, 3.80 ERA (66 1/3 IP, 28 ER), 1.04 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 12 starts
• Career against the Reds: 0-0, 5.79 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.50 WHIP, 4.8 K/9 in 2 starts

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Odds for Reds at Twins

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; visit the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds Hub for a complete list of MLB odds. Odds last updated at 10:20 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Reds +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Twins -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
• Running Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-115) | Twins -1.5 (-104)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Tips and predictions for the Reds at the Twins

forecast

Twins 4, Reds 3

Money line

HAPPEN.

The moneyline doesn’t offer much value. The Reds aren’t worth betting on the moneyline to pull off an upset, and the Twins are way too expensive to win outright. Avoid this bet.

Running Line/Against the Spread

BET ON REDS +1.5 (-115).

Cincinnati is the best road team in the majors. As a road team, their record is 47-26 ATS. The Reds have won 2 games by one point in their last 4 ends. They are 4-3 ATS in their last 7 road games, all of which have finished as moneyline underdogs.

While Ober has been a strong option for most of the season, the Twins are just 1-3 in his last 4 starts and have been unable to get much done offensively over the last week, scoring 4 or fewer runs in 9 consecutive games and 2 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 6 games.

Given these offensive concerns, you should support the underdog and RED +1.5 (-115).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).

The Twins have played under in 3 of their last 6 games and are 3-2-1 O/U in that span. They have allowed 15 runs in their last 3 games but have an ace on the mound in Ober. The Twins have played under in his last 2 starts.

The Reds have played under in 6 straight games and are 68-74-6 O/U this season. They have scored 3 or fewer goals in 6 straight games and have allowed just 8 in their last 4 games. Play UNDER 8.5 (-120).

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