Pitt at SMU odds, picks and predictions

The 17th Pitt Panthers (6-1, 3-1 Big Ten) and ranked 20th SMU Mustangs (7-1, 4-0) meet Saturday at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET (ACC Network). Let’s analyze the 24/7 college football odds from BetMGM Sportsbook Pitt vs. SMU Opportunitiesand make our college football picks and predictions.

Pitt has won all seven games, including road wins against North Carolina and Cincinnati. It is also 6-1 against the spread (ATS) while scoring 28 or more points in 6 of its 7 games. The defense has limited the opponent to 17 points or fewer in 3 of the last 4 games, with the minor team conceding in 3 games in a row.

SMU turned the ball over six times at Duke last week for a minus-6 differential, but still pulled out a 28-27 OT win. However, he failed to become an 11-point favorite and a 4-0 ATS run was halted. The over has also scored in 4 of the last 5 games for the Mustangs.

– US LBM Coaches Survey: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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Pitt at SMU odds

Powered by BetMGM Sportsbook; Visit the USA TODAY sports scores and sports betting hub for a complete list of college football odds. Lines were last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Pitt +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | SMU -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
• Against the spread: Pitt +7.5 (-120) | SMU -7.5 (+100)
• Over/Under (O/U): 56.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Pitt at SMU picks and predictions

forecast

SMU 29, Pitt 24

Money line

SMU (-300) will cost you three times your potential return, which is far too much risk for not enough reward, especially against a Pitt (+240) team that is undefeated.

AVOIDand let’s look at the spread instead.

Against the spread

Play PITT +7.5 (-120), which means a whole lot of points for an undefeated team. The catch could also be very important.

SMU -7.5 (+100) only got the upper hand 6 times at Duke last week, but found a way to win. If the Mustangs are this error-prone against the undefeated Panthers, Pitt will leave the Metroplex with a convincing win.

As it stands, the Panthers are a strong matchup as they are 6-1 ATS this season, including 2-0 ATS in their previous two road contests.

On the other hand, the Mustangs suffered their only loss at home on September 6th against BYU (18-15) as 12.5-point favorites.

Over/Under

UNDER 56.5 (-105) is a decent play in this big ACC matchup with conference championship game implications.

The over has scored in 4 of the last 5 games for SMU, so be careful. However, the SMU defense has allowed 18 or fewer points in 4 of the last 7 games.

Pitt is 3-0 in the minors, with the defense allowing just 14.0 points per game in the last two games. Don’t be surprised if this game is a lot more defensive than many expect.

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